Is it going to be this:
Or something else entirely…
Weather watching is something we do more casually now that we are way up the Brisbane River and tied to pile moorings. We do get the occasional wild summer squall and after the devastating floods of 2011 we pay more than typical attention rain fall warnings. But big picture weather watching is something that occurs by happenstance—mainly when we’re checking weather for far flung friends.
We’ve been watching Cyclone Freda for several days though. Initially it looked like she'd hit New Caledonia then continue straight on to Auckland. Bummer for our friends there, but NZ typically has such crap weather they might not even notice a little cyclone. But then the models changed and showed Freda heading for us.
Brisbane does not have much of a history of cyclones, but I was curious what happens if they do get close. Through a quick search I learned about these storms:
1950 - Tracked to Sydney;
1954 - Crossed at Coolangatta
1963 - Cyclone Annie - Sunshine Coast
1964 - Cyclone Audrey - Travels from the Gulf To Coffs Harbour
1967 - Cyclone Dinah - Damage from Rockhampton to Grafton
1967 - Cyclone Barbara - Coolangatta to Lismore
1967 - Cyclone Elaine - Flooding at Logan/Brisbane
1967 - Cyclone Glenda - Off Brisbane 16 M waves recorded near the Gold Coast
1971 - Cyclone Dorra - Hit at Redcliffe
1972 - Cyclone Diasy - Hits Fraser - with Flooding to the Gold Coast
1974 - Cyclone Wanda - Huge flood in Brisbane
1974 - Cyclone Pam - Crosses 500 km east of Brisbane - was an intense system and caused severe flooding
1974 - Cyclone Zoe – Coolangatta (thinking Coolangatta is a bad place to live)
1984 - Cyclone Lance - Wind damage to the Gold Coast
1990 - Cyclone Nancy - crosses near Byron Bay
1993 - Cyclone Roger - Passed near Fraser - back out to sea before heading towards Southern NSW Brisbane Station records 13.2 waves
1994 - Cyclone Rewa - Passed 100 km out to sea and causes flash flooding
1998 - Cyclone Vale - Passes Brisbane and hits near Grafton
That’s just a sampling—for a bigger picture these are the storms which came within 200km of Brisbane in the past 100 years:
Then I started looking up the impact of each storm. Yes, just one of the many ways I like to terrify myself: looking up storm devastation in Australia over the past hundred years. This place is deadly. Back to Brisbane though--the take away seems to be this: Sometimes storms hit Brisbane, not super often though, but when they do it can be a big freaking deal or not.
The good news is even if Freda stays organized enough to hit us she shouldn't be very big. But just to be safe everyone chant with me: Freda, Freda go away...